The Village Funds’s Substack

Turning the Page

Pausing the newsletter as I step into a new professional challenge.

Nov 30 • The Village Fund

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A Cooling Labor Market, the Structural Euro Short, and the Equity Pullback

This week’s article covers the cooling labor market, the QRA, Canadian employment data, and the structural bear case for the Euro — along with what’s…

Nov 8 • The Village Fund

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STIR Outlook, US Dollar Strength and Rising Equity Risks

In this article, we discuss this week's FOMC and its implication for short-term interest rates. We also take a look at the US dollar and warning signals…

Nov 1 • The Village Fund

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October 2025

The Return of the Greenback and Trades in SOFR and Corra Futures

I remain long US equities into year-end. Why I expect a US dollar rally. And trades in SOFR and Corra futures.

Oct 25 • The Village Fund

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Stress in Money Markets, the End of QT, and Year-End Trade Ideas

The Federal Reserve is moving to end QT as reserves tighten and money market rates spike. A closer look at the equity outlook and other trades heading…

Oct 18 • The Village Fund

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From "RepoInsights" to "The Village Fund"

Rebranding.

Oct 11 • The Village Fund

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From Crypto Crash to Year-End Rally, Gold Bubble, and Oil Selloff

New 100% tariffs on China. Crypto market cap down 21% in a day. The mighty U.S. dollar - and stretched positioning in gold and oil.

Oct 11 • The Village Fund

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Year-End Equity Flows, Oil's Setup and STIR Pricing

Buybacks in November & December. The wealth effect and why it means the stock market is the economy. Large money manager short positions in oil. Fewer…

Oct 5 • The Village Fund

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September 2025

6 Macro Views That Matter Now

Six key views: central bank cuts in 2026, Euro weakness, oil’s turning point, gold risks, and other trade ideas.

Sep 24 • The Village Fund

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August 2025

Hikes in Europe, Shorts in Small Caps - Hunting for the Next Big Reversal

Stagflation signals from ISM and claims data meet rising credit creation. Euro strength is biting exports, and speculators are crowded into Russell 2000…

Aug 9 • The Village Fund

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The Case for Going Long the S&P500 Into the FOMC - Plus Key Market Updates

This article dives into the latest economic data, including the GDP print, the NFP report and the latest core PCE data. We also take a look at STIR…

Aug 2 • The Village Fund

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July 2025

Building a Three-Layer Portfolio

How to stack passive beta, contrarian/discretionary alpha, and systematic strategies for consistent returns. And quick thoughts on STIR and Ethereum.

Jul 27 • The Village Fund

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